Рубль сдает позиции по всем фронтам

«Россиянин» ослабел по отношению к доллару на 1,33%, до отметки 57,61 руб. за «американца», курс евро укрепился на 0,43%, до 70,67 руб. за евро. Это произошло, потому что рубль не выдержал внешнего давления из-за общего укрепления американской валюты и дешевеющей нефти. 

Доллар США возобновил рост на ожиданиях инвесторами падения американских фондовых индексов, а также повышения доходности американских облигаций. Дополнительный «бычий» импульс ему придало очередное продление финансирования правительства до 23 марта. 

Цена на нефть сорта Brent упала на 2%, до $65,13 за баррель после того, как данные из США неожиданно указали на рост запасов нефти, нефтепродуктов и добычи. 

К закрытию торгов курс доллара вырос до 57,61 руб. Давление было настолько сильным, что покупателям рубля пришлось проигнорировать успешные аукционы Минфина РФ и повышение индекса RGBI на 0,38%, до 143,86. Ведомство разместило два выпуска ОФЗ на сумму 35 млрд руб. при совокупном спросе 134,88 млрд рублей.

В четверг, 8 февраля, баррель Brent стоит $65,27 (-0,24%). На фоне укрепления доллара и разочаровывающихся данных по запасам нефти и добычи, трейдеры по ней закрывают длинные позиции. Скорее всего, нисходящее движение по нефти продолжится. Ближайшая поддержка находится на уровне $64 за баррель. При снижении цены ниже указанного уровня падение ускорится до $60,9 за бочку.

Соответственно, российская валюта останется под давлением. По курсу доллара сопротивление расположено между уровнями 57,80 руб. и 58,05 руб. Как только покупатели его преодолеют, «американец» поднимется до отметки 58,95 руб. за доллар США к 17 февраля. Пара евро/рубль сохранит восходящее движение к уровню 71,70 руб.

В разделе «Мнения» сайта Агентства экономической информации «ПРАЙМ» публикуются материалы, предоставленные аналитиками, трейдерами и экспертами российских и зарубежных компаний, банков, а также публикуются мнения собственных экспертов Агентства «ПРАЙМ». Мнения авторов по тому или иному вопросу, отраженные в публикуемых Агентством материалах , могут не совпадать с мнением редакции АЭИ «ПРАЙМ». Авторы и АЭИ «ПРАЙМ» не берут на себя ответственность за действия, предпринятые на основе данной информации. С появлением новых данных по рынку позиция авторов может меняться.

Представленные мнения выражены с учетом ситуации на момент выхода материала и носят исключительно ознакомительный характер; они не являются предложением или советом по совершению каких-либо действий и/или сделок, в том числе по покупке либо продаже ценных бумаг. По всем вопросам размещения информации в разделе «Мнения» Вы можете обращаться в редакцию агентства: combroker@1prime.ru.

Источник: 1prime.ru

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